Dead Simple Research
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SOLS
Solstice Advanced Materials
SILVER
86 Dead Simple Score
Data center cooling systems for the AI buildout boom
Base DCF Case
$87.50 Current: $55.66
SOLS Solstice Advanced Materials
SILVER
Why I Own It
I own Solstice because the market is pricing a confusing spin-off, not the multi-tailwind compounder underneath it: the only U.S. uranium-conversion business (~$2.2B backlog), a regulation-forced refrigerant replacement cycle, and pick-and-shovel AI exposure via electronic materials. A ~1.4x-levered balance sheet (~$1.6B liquidity) funds growth and a dividend, so the near-term risk is margin compression, not solvency. Fair price for quality — and I keep owning it while margins hold near 25%.
Dead Simple Scorecard Research Date · Jun 09, 2026
Market 90/100
AI data-center cooling demand
Team / Execution 85/100
Scaling through a rough patch
Traction 87/100
Contract-driven recurring revenue
Moat 88/100
Switching costs on replacements
Valuation 81/100
Priced for execution (~89x FCF)
Risk 78/100
High debt + concentration
Portfolio Fit 88/100
Asymmetric, non-core
Dead Simple Score Overall conviction call — categories above are component detail, not a sum.
86 SILVER
Dead Simple DCF Open
Bear$68
Base$87.50
Bull$104
Position AddedJun 15, 2026
Current Return-34.8%
S&P Return-3.3%
Alpha-31.5%
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