Dead Simple Research
Open
NFLX
Netflix
PLATINUM
95 Dead Simple Score
The world's default screen. Now monetizing the attention it already owns.
Base DCF Case
$112 Current: $73.66
NFLX Netflix
PLATINUM
Why I Own It
I bought because a $12B cash machine with the deepest library on earth is down ~40% from its highs yet still trades like premium growth — at 27x FCF that's fair, leaning cheap, and the WB deal sealed it. The ad business is free optionality nobody's paying for. I'm accepting four straight EPS misses and the risk margins are decaying; if operating margin falls a second quarter, I'm out. Until then, I own the engine.
Dead Simple Scorecard Research Date · Jun 18, 2026
Market 93/100
Global streaming leader with the largest paying base
Team / Execution 96/100
Long-tenured insiders with discipline
Traction 92/100
$12B FCF is real and strong
Moat 88/100
Genuine content-scale moat protects margins
Valuation 94/100
Netflix almost never goes on sale
Risk 89/100
Multiple compression if growth dissapoints
Portfolio Fit 97/100
Clean fit for a volatility-tolerant investor
Dead Simple Score Overall conviction call — categories above are component detail, not a sum.
95 PLATINUM
Dead Simple DCF Open
Bear$84
Base$112
Bull$145
Position AddedJun 18, 2026
Current Return-4.4%
S&P Return-2.3%
Alpha-2.2%
Dead Simple Research NFLX · Open
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