DASH
DoorDash (DASH)
SILVER
Why I'm Watching It
DoorDash is really two businesses on one ticker: a dominant restaurant duopoly that prints cash, with a near-100%-margin ad engine bolted on top that lifts blended margins mechanically. The business is ownable and the moat is real, but at 41x FCF the price already assumes both the ad compounding and the grocery land-grab win. A soft Aug 4 print that re-rates toward the base case is the entry where the asymmetry finally points up.
Watching For
Expansion
Dead Simple Scorecard
Research Date · Jun 16, 2026
Team / Execution
96/100
Execution is real
Traction
92/100
Orders up
Moat
88/100
Merchant relationships- network moat
Valuation
61/100
Means upside is more dependent on execution
Risk
72/100
Margin expansion may dissapoint
Portfolio Fit
89/100
Long runway if thesis works
Dead Simple Score
Overall conviction call — categories above are component detail, not a sum.
80
SILVER
Dead Simple DCF
Watchlist
Bear$60
Base$133
Bull$220
Watchlist AddedJun 16, 2026
Current Return+13.8%
S&P Return-2.6%
Alpha+16.4%