Dead Simple Research
Watchlist
DASH
DoorDash (DASH)
SILVER
80 Dead Simple Score
The mall in your pocket. Watching the margin slope
Base DCF Case
$133 Current: $193.49
DASH DoorDash (DASH)
SILVER
Why I'm Watching It
DoorDash is really two businesses on one ticker: a dominant restaurant duopoly that prints cash, with a near-100%-margin ad engine bolted on top that lifts blended margins mechanically. The business is ownable and the moat is real, but at 41x FCF the price already assumes both the ad compounding and the grocery land-grab win. A soft Aug 4 print that re-rates toward the base case is the entry where the asymmetry finally points up.
Watching For Expansion
Dead Simple Scorecard Research Date · Jun 16, 2026
Market 93/100
Massive
Team / Execution 96/100
Execution is real
Traction 92/100
Orders up
Moat 88/100
Merchant relationships- network moat
Valuation 61/100
Means upside is more dependent on execution
Risk 72/100
Margin expansion may dissapoint
Portfolio Fit 89/100
Long runway if thesis works
Dead Simple Score Overall conviction call — categories above are component detail, not a sum.
80 SILVER
Dead Simple DCF Watchlist
Bear$60
Base$133
Bull$220
Watchlist AddedJun 16, 2026
Current Return+13.8%
S&P Return-2.6%
Alpha+16.4%
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